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Research notes

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572 notes from HDFC Securities · all time

05 Oct 2026, 16:07 IST Hindustan Unilever Limited HDFC Securities REDUCE target Rs 1,925

The report expects 11% YoY revenue growth and 8% YoY adjusted PAT growth for HUL in Q2FY27E, aided by a low base.

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05 Oct 2026, 14:08 IST Orient Cement Limited HDFC Securities (HSIE Research)

The report says Orient Cements is part of the mega merger with parent Ambuja expected to complete by FY27-end, simplifying the corporate structure and financial reporting.

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05 Oct 2026, 14:08 IST ACC Limited HDFC Securities (HSIE Research)

The report says ACC, a listed subsidiary, is to be merged into Ambuja within the next two quarters with most approvals in place, contributing to ~14% equity dilution by FY27-end.

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05 Oct 2026, 14:08 IST Ambuja Cements Limited HDFC Securities (HSIE Research) BUY target INR 550

The note maintains BUY with an unchanged TP of INR 550/share (15x Sep'28E consolidated EBITDA), estimating a ~2% YoY Q2FY27 volume decline and unit EBITDA falling ~INR 220/MT QoQ to ~INR 700/MT, while projecting consolidated volume/EBITDA CAGR of 8%/17% over FY26-29E, cumulative capex of ~INR 199bn, and the company staying net cash.

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05 Oct 2026, 08:57 IST Sobha Limited HSIE Research (HDFC Securities Institutional Equities) BUY target INR 1,930

The report says Sobha posted Q2FY27 presales of INR 22.1bn (+16% YoY), H1FY27 presales at an all-time high of INR 58.6bn (+47% YoY, 59% of FY27 guidance), a strong launch pipeline (H1 launches of 7.9msf/INR 112bn, ~75% of FY27 guidance), and that margins are expected to improve meaningfully from H2FY27 as the INR186bn unrecognized revenue book with 30%+ project-level EBITDA margins moves into recognition, leading HSIE Research to maintain a BUY rating with a target price of INR 1,930/share.

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01 Oct 2026, 16:35 IST Stylam Industries Limited HDFC Securities BUY target INR 4,065 (unchanged)

The note expects Stylam to report 16.5% YoY revenue growth and 26.3% YoY APAT growth led by improved realisation.

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01 Oct 2026, 16:35 IST Greenlam Industries Limited HDFC Securities REDUCE target INR 255 (unchanged)

The note expects Greenlam to deliver 14% YoY revenue growth on improved realisation but a 1.7% YoY EBITDA decline, with estimates unchanged.

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01 Oct 2026, 16:35 IST Greenpanel Industries Limited HDFC Securities BUY target INR 230 (cut from INR 265)

The note expects Greenpanel to report negative topline growth (-4.3% YoY) on weak exports and domestic market share loss, with EBITDA down 38% YoY, and cuts FY27-29E estimates.

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01 Oct 2026, 16:35 IST Century Plyboards (India) Limited HDFC Securities BUY target INR 1,005 (raised from INR 990)

The note calls Century Plyboards its top sector pick and a Q2 result pick, expecting strong double-digit revenue growth of 28.4% YoY aided by better realisation and market share gains.

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01 Oct 2026, 16:35 IST Prince Pipes And Fittings Limited HDFC Securities REDUCE target INR 275 (old INR 270)

The note expects Prince Pipes to report 16% YoY volume growth with revenue up 26.8% and APAT up 219% YoY on a low base, while retaining a REDUCE rating.

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01 Oct 2026, 16:35 IST Astral Limited HDFC Securities BUY target INR 1,770 (old INR 1,760)

The note expects Astral to post 22% YoY volume growth, 27.2% YoY revenue growth and 45.9% YoY APAT growth in Q2FY27.

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01 Oct 2026, 16:35 IST Supreme Industries Limited HDFC Securities ADD target INR 4,250 (raised from INR 4,160)

The note expects Supreme to report 18% YoY volume growth with revenue up 33.5% and APAT up 89.9% YoY, aided by PVC inventory gains, and values it at 40x Sep'28 EPS plus its stake in Supreme Petrochem at a 30% discount.

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01 Oct 2026, 16:35 IST Somany Ceramics Limited HDFC Securities ADD target INR 660 in valuation table (old INR 640; cover page lists 640)

The note says Somany should report 6% YoY volume growth, 27.1% YoY revenue growth and 350bps YoY EBITDA margin expansion on price hikes.

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01 Oct 2026, 16:35 IST Kajaria Ceramics Limited HDFC Securities ADD target INR 1,390 (raised from INR 1,330)

The note says Kajaria is a Q2 result pick, expecting 11% YoY volume growth, revenue up 26.3% YoY to INR 14,975mn and EBITDA margin expansion of ~300bps YoY.

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01 Oct 2026, 16:21 IST United Breweries Limited HDFC Securities REDUCE target INR 1,325/sh

The note says UBL should post ~12% volume-led revenue growth with EBITDA up 29% and adjusted PAT up 21% on a depressed base, but flags that margin recovery to double digits could be delayed by West Asia-related cost headwinds.

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01 Oct 2026, 16:21 IST Allied Blenders and Distillers Limited HDFC Securities ADD target INR 685/sh

The report says P&A volumes should grow ~15% YoY, with overall revenue up 9%, EBITDA up ~7% and adjusted PAT up 3%, with EBITDA margin broadly flat at 12.5% in line with management's FY27 guidance; its target price implies 5% downside.

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01 Oct 2026, 16:21 IST United Spirits Limited HDFC Securities BUY target INR 1,750/sh

The note states it expects ~4% net sales growth with flat P&A volumes, a ~30% popular segment volume decline, EBITDA margin of ~19.5% (down 170bps on a high base) and a ~5% fall in adjusted PAT.

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01 Oct 2026, 16:21 IST Tilaknagar Industries Limited HDFC Securities BUY target INR 700/sh

The report says consolidated revenue could rise ~167% YoY on the acquired Imperial Blue portfolio, but adjusted EBITDA margin may contract ~90bps to 14.2% and adjusted PAT decline 9% YoY to INR482mn due to interest costs of about INR650mn.

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01 Oct 2026, 16:21 IST Radico Khaitan Limited HDFC Securities BUY target INR 5,300/sh

The note says Radico is expected to lead the coverage with ~13% revenue growth, 44% EBITDA growth and ~59% adjusted PAT growth in Q2FY27E, aided by ~30% P&A growth and a 45% rise in Magic Moments vodka, with EBITDA margin held above 20%.

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01 Oct 2026, 16:10 IST Mastek Limited HDFC Securities BUY target INR 1,920

The note expects Mastek to grow +1.7% QoQ CC and cuts its target price from INR 2,080 to INR 1,920 on a lower 12x multiple.

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01 Oct 2026, 16:10 IST Sonata Software Limited HDFC Securities BUY target INR 340

The report calls Sonata a key laggard at +0.6% QoQ CC on slow ramp-up and cuts its target price from INR 360 to INR 340 while retaining BUY.

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01 Oct 2026, 16:10 IST BIRLASOFT LIMITED HDFC Securities ADD target INR 365

The note downgrades Birlasoft from BUY to ADD and cuts the target price to INR 365, flagging it as a key laggard at +1.0% QoQ CC on a slow turnaround.

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01 Oct 2026, 16:10 IST Zensar Technologies Limited HDFC Securities ADD target INR 565

The report names Zensar among its preferred smaller names and expects +2.4% QoQ CC growth, while cutting the target price from INR 600 to INR 565.

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01 Oct 2026, 16:10 IST Cyient Limited HDFC Securities BUY target INR 1,450

The note upgrades Cyient to BUY with target price raised from INR 1,350 to INR 1,450, expecting DET growth of +5.5% QoQ CC including one month of Tao Digital consolidation.

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